57% of brokers can’t see a Brexit deal being agreed by March 29th

Harley Kagan

57% of brokers responding to United Trust Bank’s most recent Broker Sentiment poll don’t believe Theresa May can agree a Brexit deal acceptable to parliament by March 29th.

Just 31% felt that a deal agreed on both sides of the Channel could be achieved by the time the UK has to officially leave the European Union, unless an extension to the 2-year Article 50 timeline is agreed instead.

Furthermore, 62% of the 128 brokers from the fields of property and asset finance who took part in the survey would not have voted for Mrs May’s original Brexit deal which included the infamous Northern Ireland ‘backstop’.

Although it appears there would now be a sufficient majority in the House of Commons in favour of the current withdrawal agreement with changes to the backstop, European Council President Donald Tusk has said that the entire withdrawal agreement, including the backstop, is not open for renegotiation.

Will Theresa May be able to broker a Brexit deal acceptable to parliament by March 29th?

 

Yes 31%
No 57%
Don’t know 12%

 

Would you have voted to accept the deal Mrs May proposed to parliament on the 15th of January?

 

Yes 22%
No 62%
Don’t know 16%

 

Harley Kagan, pictured, Group Managing Director – United Trust Bank, commented:

“With less than two months until the UK must leave the EU under Article 50, it looks like Brexit negotiations are going to go down to the wire. Parliament has rejected the Northern Ireland backstop as it stands, and the 26 other EU member states are standing firm with the Republic Ireland of Ireland which insists there’s no other alternative. One side will have to concede some ground or risk a ‘no-deal’ Brexit, which all sides appear to agree would be the worst outcome for everyone.

“On a more positive note, UTB has had a busy start to the year indicating that many businesses are carrying on regardless. It’s worth remembering that a majority do not have a trading relationship outside of the UK. And although parts of the UK have seen a cooling of activity in the residential property market, there are areas experiencing a strong demand. The UK’s housing shortage will not disappear overnight.

“Despite the uncertainty, UTB continues to support SMEs, developers and housebuilders by providing a dependable source of funding and enabling them to seek out and seize opportunities to invest and grow.”

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